Prediction Alpha Desk Recall Audit

Generated 2026-09-18 04:40 UTC. Noise-filter removed 20 generic integrity rows.
Purpose: this page checks whether the strict funnel is too narrow. Generic multi-outcome election/range ladders are filtered unless they have a hard date/URL mismatch or likely true concatenated rules text.
TierPlatformScoreVisibleMarketYESDaysLiquidityAvoidIntegrityURL
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket22YESRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.05543145053.7476nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_text; title_deadline_not_in_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket22YESWill the United Arab Emirates join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.1051049033.6802nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket22YESWill Kuwait join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.1051048942.0745nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket22YESWill Oman join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.0851048792.2114nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket22YESWill Qatar join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.111048774.8522nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket22YESWill Morocco join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.0751048762.1628nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket22YESWill Bahrain join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.111048749.941nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket22YESWill Yemen join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.081048689.6616nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket22YESWill Iraq join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.0751048664.9053nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket18YESIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.065104132740.8222nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket18YESWill Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.7851049692.6104nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket18YESWill Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.221049422.4112nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket18YESWill Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.7751041854.0207nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket17YESWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.08510411570.743nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_text; title_url_deadline_mismatchopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.35746162680.11867nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.055104152181.2371nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.065104103565.3484nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_text; title_url_deadline_mismatchopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.6154671670.9333nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESTrump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.05510410581.3324nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_text; title_url_deadline_mismatchopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.0551049158.8238nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket24YESWill any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.12510430197.799nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket24YESWill Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.08510427942.7288nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket24YESWill a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.11510425792.4923nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.05543145053.7476nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_text; title_deadline_not_in_resolution_textopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1358248046.0326nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.4358227923.4488nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.06510424988.9788nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.10510414309.6317nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1210412579.8626nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill Gérald Darmanin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.067510410692.27151nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.0710410095.21355nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.0951049871.2654nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1051049508.3274nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.0551049394.9025nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill Yaël Braun-Pivet announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.07251049191.7684nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill Élisabeth Borne announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.0861049120.0459nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill the United Arab Emirates join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1051049033.6802nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.0951048966.9388nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill Kuwait join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1051048942.0745nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill Valérie Pécresse announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.06251048863.887nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill Michel Barnier announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.0951048807.2051nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill Oman join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.0851048792.2114nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill Qatar join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.111048774.8522nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill Morocco join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.0751048762.1628nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill Bahrain join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.111048749.941nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill Yemen join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.081048689.6616nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill Iraq join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.0751048664.9053nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.16051044637.65703nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.13351043287.79688nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESCilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1351041818.684nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.4145175114.7351nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.58545162445.4745nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.29545132180.9296nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.0854593094.8342nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.8354588066.2515nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.7054587210.4373nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.3254577856.0811nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.0654571535.2452nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.6054563960.097nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.8554557792.4458nonenoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket15NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.151042884.3786low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket15NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.081042542.2373low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket15NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.0951042160.1746low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket15NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.06951041988.30936low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket15NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.225104967.0992low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket15NOWill Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.55104539.8335low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket15NOWill Iran join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.0805104299.26665low_volume_liquiditymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket15NOWill François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.605104245.6955low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket15NOWill Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.495104214.3122low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket11NOGreta Thunberg arrested by December 31?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.919104283.1865low_volume_liquiditytitle_url_deadline_mismatchopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket11NOWill Susan Rice be arrested before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.085104235.9407low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket11NOWill Candace Owens be arrested before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.061510440.6946low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket11NOWill Lee Jun-seok be arrested before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.108510438.95741low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket9NOWill the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 1%?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.0605462241.28436low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket9NOWill the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 1%?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.23461984.7274low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket9NOWill the Nebraska 2026 Senate race be within 1%?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.125461681.3373low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket9NOWill the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 1%?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.29461491.6399low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket9NOWill the Kansas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.7946105.0156low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket9NOWill the South Carolina 2026 Senate race be within 5%?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.4354618.5097low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket8NOStandX FDV above $100M one day after launch?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.671043954.1697low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket8NOFelix Protocol FDV above $5M one day after launch?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.27104235.6999low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket8NOFelix Protocol FDV above $10M one day after launch?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.145104110.2985low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket6NOWHOOP IPO before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.0221043538.78574extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket6NOWill Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.57285642.2853low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinenoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket6NOWill Fabien Roussel be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.84285605.6945low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinenoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket6NOWill François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.27285369.6758low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinenoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket6NOIsrael military action against Yemen by October 31?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.3854357.79low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket5NOWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Virginia Senate election by 21% or more?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.365285893.4111low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket5NOWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 12% or more?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.0705285537.28525low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket5NOWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,400,000 and 1,500,000?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.455194451.9326low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinenoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket5NOWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,650,000 and 4,800,000?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.235194412.833low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinenoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket5NOWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,400,000 and 1,450,000?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.355194403.228low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinenoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket5NOWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,950,000 and 5,100,000?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.0605194376.85177low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinenoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket5NOWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.161194330.10161low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinenoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket5NOWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AR-04 House election by 55% or more?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.075285275.4348low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket5NOWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,350,000 and 4,500,000?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.39194272.8012low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinenoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket5NOWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-21 House election by 3% or more?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.06285181.3866low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket5NOWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Iowa be between 1,500,000 and 1,550,000?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.094194179.98878low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinenoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket5NOWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Ohio be between 4,800,000 and 4,950,000?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.056194161.41002low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinenoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket5NOWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-10 House election by 85% or more?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.06528575.6505low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket17NOUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.005512120802.49898extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencytitle_deadline_not_in_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket17NOWill a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.04510465092.4992extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket17NOUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.0457360804.4375extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencytitle_deadline_not_in_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket17NOUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.02954345060.2739extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencytitle_deadline_not_in_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOIsrael closes its airspace by September 30?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.98512145197.43838extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.03558242553.10796extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.010510411796.27061extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill Sudan join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.03110411136.11225extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill Somalia join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.03510410957.42879extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.020510410236.41048extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill Carole Delga announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.0451049589.3665extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill François Bayrou announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.01351048629.55073extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill Jordan join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.03051048461.66593extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill Jean Castex announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.0221048460.1855extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill Lebanon join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.01051048381.07096extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill Syria join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.01051048331.86829extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.151042884.3786low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.081042542.2373low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.0951042160.1746low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.06951041988.30936low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.225104967.0992low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill Mathilde Panot announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.0015104954.07348extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.55104539.8335low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill Iran join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.0805104299.26665low_volume_liquiditymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill François Hollande announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.605104245.6955low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.495104214.3122low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket14NOWill Flávio Bolsonaro win between 36% and 39% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.10528547347.8792too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket14NOWill Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.87528524485.3318too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.00154516122.57953extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.89528513094.9972too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.0628513086.0468too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.058528512915.32022too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.12328512766.40014too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Teddy Riner be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.054528511775.25683too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Bally Bagayoko be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.05228511764.98752too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.8428511579.2631too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.057528511117.73109too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Sarah Knafo be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.10528510483.9433too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.10528510176.0043too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Michel Barnier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.0622859939.60382too_far_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-1NOWill Person B win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
450inactive_market; low_volume_liquidity; missing_pricenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-11NOFC Den Bosch vs. Helmond Sport: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.2201797.2864low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket4NOWill Trump endorse Yisrael Beiteinu in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.00051049237.60013closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-13NOGetafe CF vs. Málaga CF: Málaga CF 1st Half O/U 1.5
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.49529.7547low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-18NOFC Den Bosch vs. Helmond Sport: O/U 8.5
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.012501896.76429extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-26NOMap Handicap: ALGO (-1.5) vs FTUR (+1.5)
Stable sample from rejected rows.
1.0-130closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-26NOCounter-Strike: Pitstop crew vs Vortex CGO - Map 2 Winner
Stable sample from rejected rows.
1.0-118closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-27NOFK Železiarne Podbrezová vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: MFK Zemplín Michalovce O/U 2.5 Corners
Stable sample from rejected rows.
1.0-55closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-27NOCA San Telmo vs. CA San Miguel: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
Stable sample from rejected rows.
1.0-470closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-6NOWill the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 17°C on September 19?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.205174.163low_volume_liquidity; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-11NOWill Candidate M win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amapá?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.52850inactive_market; low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-24NOCounter-Strike: BIG Academy vs ReThink - Map 1 Winner
Stable sample from rejected rows.
1.0-143closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket9NOWill the Iowa 2026 Senate race be within 1%?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.29461491.6399low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-1NOWill Person A win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
450inactive_market; low_volume_liquidity; missing_pricenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-10NOWill Candidate R win the most votes in the 2026 Mato Grosso do Sul Senate election?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.52850inactive_market; low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-11NOWill someone else win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Sergipe?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.52850inactive_market; low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-12NOOlympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: Stade Rennais FC 1901 2nd Half O/U 1.5
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.510.5low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-25NOShijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs. Nantong Zhiyun: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.0-550.04closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-6NOAC Oulu vs. FC Inter Turku: Both Teams to Score
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.508076.0385sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-11NOWill Candidate H win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Mato Grosso do Sul?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.52850inactive_market; low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-11NOWill Candidate Z win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.52850inactive_market; low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-13NOIan Seymour: Strikeouts O/U 7.5
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.500.2low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-18NOCC Ezirim: Anytime Touchdown
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.510.2low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket6NOWill Evan Pettus be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.001510411844.90418extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-10NOWill Candidate N win the second-most votes in the 2026 Paraíba Senate election?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.52850inactive_market; low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen