Prediction Alpha Desk Recall Audit

Generated 2026-08-14 02:46 UTC. Noise-filter removed 16 generic integrity rows.
Purpose: this page checks whether the strict funnel is too narrow. Generic multi-outcome election/range ladders are filtered unless they have a hard date/URL mismatch or likely true concatenated rules text.
TierPlatformScoreVisibleMarketYESDaysLiquidityAvoidIntegrityURL
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket18YESIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.0557833898.2548nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket17YESIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.075139107601.5369nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket17YESWill Łukasz Gibała win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.6913912275.5434nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket17YESUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.07513912269.7662nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket17YESWill Israel annex any territory by December 31?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.09513911812.6139nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket17YESFrench election called by December 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.09513910966.0942nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket17YESSinaloa Gov. Ruben Rocha arrested by December 31?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.1731398278.8578nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket17YESWill Monika Piątkowska win the 2026 Kraków mayoral election?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.2351396632.2226nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket17YESWill Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.6651391931.9531nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.6658194419.7945nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.0713971985.19868nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.13513916288.0246nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_text; title_url_deadline_mismatchopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by December 31, 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.19513910450.1438nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_text; title_deadline_not_in_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Nevada have the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.0658110181.3919nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Kansas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.09858110176.40563nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Jonatan Vseviov be the next President of Estonia?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.05513910114.9032nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Alaska have the closest Senate race in 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.115819777.2984nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Iowa have the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.1175819565.93518nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Texas have the closest Senate race in 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.23819535.3052nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Ohio (Special) have the closest Senate race in 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.1385819524.78452nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Michigan have the closest Senate race in 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.0645819501.64588nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Iowa have the closest Senate race in 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.176819432.20116nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Nebraska have the closest Senate race in 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.0515819371.68831nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
RULES_INTEGRITYpolymarket16YESWill Wisconsin have the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Possible date or rules mismatch. Exact wording check required.
0.126819357.85911nonemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket24YESUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.067832728.4008nonetitle_deadline_not_in_resolution_textopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket24YESUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1110832625.5464nonetitle_deadline_not_in_resolution_textopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket23YESUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.185139321508.7556nonetitle_deadline_not_in_resolution_textopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket23YESWill Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1613932148.203nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket23YESWill a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.09513931137.4526nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket23YESWill a 1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.14513925555.2414nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket23YESWill Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.19513925015.7313nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket23YESWill a ≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1813921546.6145nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket23YESWill any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.20513919937.6933nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket22YESWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.283224069.248nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket21YESWill Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.073513978141.22921nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket21YESNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.06513922577.4579nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket21YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.09813913253.58973nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket21YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1313911125.2692nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket21YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.06513910008.7811nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket21YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Taiwan" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1711399962.32103nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket21YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1351399755.0158nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket21YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.0651399518.0827nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket21YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.0951399293.5082nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket21YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.121399056.1715nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket21YESCilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1651399029.3769nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket21YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1251398977.5141nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket21YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.091398892.0374nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket21YESU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina" before 2027?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.121391897.5822nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.22580104552.1467nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.4480103105.5728nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.4958085416.3155nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.2958076862.053nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.7758076179.4561nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.6958062548.6758nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.7158057017.7797nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.07758039304.44366nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.938039250.8882nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESWill an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.2858024708.0672nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESIran successfully targets shipping on August 31, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1051720009.531nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESIran successfully targets shipping on August 29, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.0751518802.9038nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESIran successfully targets shipping on August 24, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1151018682.5649nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESIran successfully targets shipping on August 30, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.1151618375.7643nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESIran successfully targets shipping on August 28, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.0951418370.7707nonenoneopen
VISIBLE_OUTSIDE_QUEUEpolymarket20YESIran successfully targets shipping on August 26, 2026?
Visible candidate outside the strict queue.
0.081218041.1222nonenoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket14NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.1051392596.501low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket14NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.171391725.3642low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket14NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.2351391241.3431low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket12NOWHOOP IPO before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.0851391933.0089low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket11NOWill Kazem Gharibabadi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.1917179.6004low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket11NOWill Rafael Grossi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.1651790.8344low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket11NOWill Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.10351777.49421low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket11NOEvo Morales arrested by September 30?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.3254769.3711low_volume_liquiditymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_text; title_url_deadline_mismatchopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket11NOWill Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.4951743.0445low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket11NOWill Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.51711.8062low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.0751391860.8796low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.3051391315.6274low_volume_liquiditymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Tally Gotliv win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.07851391192.38358low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Yoav Kisch win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.109139657.36582low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.105139606.2802low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Eli Cohen win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.054139566.52117low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Boaz Bismuth win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.0555139562.14543low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Susan Rice be arrested before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.085139553.2607low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NONo-confidence vote against Spain PM Sanchez by December 31?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.385139404.474low_volume_liquiditymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_text; title_url_deadline_mismatchopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Candace Owens be arrested before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.056139392.49614low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Mahmoud Khalil be arrested before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.27139236.8769low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Hugo Gonzalo Mendoza Gaytan be arrested in 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.3395139106.56925low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Jesús Alfredo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.4213999.4762low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOGreta Thunberg arrested by December 31?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.5313998.8562low_volume_liquiditytitle_url_deadline_mismatchopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar be arrested in 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.68113981.26661low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Lee Jun-seok be arrested before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.1113942.21765low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Juan Pablo Ledezma be arrested in 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.513926.3406low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket10NOWill Juan Reyes Mejía González be arrested in 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.513924.1761low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket9NOWill Hannes Hanso be the next President of Estonia?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.0621392291.35451low_volume_liquiditymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket9NOWill Maine have the closest Senate race in 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.075811959.7126low_volume_liquiditymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket9NOWill Republicans hold 47–49 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.26811793.51176low_volume_liquiditymultiple_explicit_resolution_datesopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket9NOWill Texas have the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.1525811084.6514low_volume_liquiditymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket9NOWill Florida have the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.05681854.72827low_volume_liquiditymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket9NOWill Georgia have the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.099581822.70025low_volume_liquiditymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket9NOWill Vermont have the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.07281793.0457low_volume_liquiditymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket9NOWill New Hampshire have the closest Governor's race in 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.16681653.44192low_volume_liquiditymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket8NOWill Chuck Gray be the WY-AL Republican nominee?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.515811780.3153low_volume_liquiditymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket8NOWill Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.061391684.64714low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket8NOWill Houthis successfully target shipping on August 22, 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.09581429.1685low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
LOW_ACTIVITY_EDGE_SHAPEpolymarket8NOGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026?
Low activity but still has the desired public-info shape.
0.111391093.9692low_volume_liquiditymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket17NOUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.01317387055.77324extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencytitle_deadline_not_in_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket17NOUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.04547263588.6505extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencytitle_deadline_not_in_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket16NOWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.0045321030100.36156extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket16NOWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.012532783014.16663extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket16NOWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.004532676508.81669extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOYabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.97753778023.52098extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencyextracted_end_date_differs_from_title_deadline; multiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.01457534283.56567extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.017528829.17111extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.00157526611.11432extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket15NOWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.00453224651.66383extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket14NOFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.28-241191151.0713too_near_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket14NOFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.425-24167979.6754too_near_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket14NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Vietnam" before 2027?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.1051392596.501low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket14NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Israel" before 2027?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.171391725.3642low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket14NOU.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.2351391241.3431low_volume_liquiditynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOIsrael closes its airspace by August 31?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.065-3198803.9582too_near_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOIran full airspace closure by August 31?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.085-11155931.2763too_near_deadlineextracted_end_date_differs_from_title_deadline; multiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_text; title_deadline_not_in_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOIran full airspace closure by December 31?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.325-11118140.3052too_near_deadlineextracted_end_date_differs_from_title_deadline; multiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_text; title_deadline_not_in_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOIran full airspace closure by September 30?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.165-11118025.6967too_near_deadlineextracted_end_date_differs_from_title_deadline; multiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_text; title_deadline_not_in_resolution_textopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill the Democrats win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.00258017246.75732extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Matthieu Pigasse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.132013471.7886too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.0062711810.01549extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.89532010497.9358too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Ségolène Royal be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.06532010271.7913too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.80532010164.8167too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Michel-Edouard Leclerc be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.06532010152.1658too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.123209631.0881too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Marine Le Pen be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.8553209439.9106too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.1373209389.72641too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.0553209150.6864too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Gérald Darmanin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.0673209119.257too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill François Bayrou be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.05653209110.17509too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Bernard Cazeneuve be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.153209043.5851too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.1353208902.1331too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.183208879.2698too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Manuel Bompard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.083208810.6716too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Jérôme Guedj be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.1053208712.2574too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Philippe de Villiers be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.0753208428.1779too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Jean-Michel Fauvergue be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.0553208327.4303too_far_deadlinenoneopen
NEAR_MISSpolymarket13NOWill Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
Rejected by a gate despite plausible shape.
0.2853203453.8354too_far_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-10NOWill MiniMax have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.00051747763.96155closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; subjectivenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket10NOWill Trump endorse Yisrael Beiteinu in the 2026 Israeli Election?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.0041399111.87782extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket1NOWill Lee Jones be the FL-02 Republican nominee?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.0005819326.10806closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencymultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-5NOSet Handicap: Fomin (-1.5) vs Imamura (+1.5)
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.33507316.0282sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-6NOSpread: FC Nantes (-2.5)
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.0909848.9363sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-12NOWill Jorge Jesus attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.0451398847.311extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; meme_or_religion; sportsnoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-13NOBristol City FC vs. Millwall FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.1111516.8143low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-26NOMap Handicap: ALGO (-1.5) vs FTUR (+1.5)
Stable sample from rejected rows.
1.0-95closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-26NOCounter-Strike: Pitstop crew vs Vortex CGO - Map 2 Winner
Stable sample from rejected rows.
1.0-83closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-27NOFK Železiarne Podbrezová vs. MFK Zemplín Michalovce: MFK Zemplín Michalovce O/U 2.5 Corners
Stable sample from rejected rows.
1.0-20closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-24NOCounter-Strike: BIG Academy vs ReThink - Map 1 Winner
Stable sample from rejected rows.
1.0-108closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-25NOShijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs. Nantong Zhiyun: 1st Half O/U 2.5
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.0-201.15994closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket5NOWill Evan Pettus be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.001513911703.27036extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket10NOWill David Bitan win the 2026 Likud party primary elections?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.0071398898.92087extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-3NOWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in August 2026?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.0005186270.21327closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiencynoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-11NOWill Party 4 win the next Khanty-Mansi Autonomous Okrug Parliament elections?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.53510inactive_market; low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-6NOWill Person AM be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.55950inactive_market; low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-10NOWill Candidate C win the 2027 Guerrero Governor Election?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.55040inactive_market; low_volume_liquidity; too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-14NOWill Candidate Q win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
-30inactive_market; low_volume_liquidity; missing_price; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-26NOSK Samegrelo Chkhorotsku vs. ŽFK Dragon 2014: ŽFK Dragon 2014 O/U 3.5 Corners
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.0-200closed_or_resolved; extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; low_volume_liquidity; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-8NOExact Score: Wuhan San Zhen FC 3 - 0 Shanghai Haigang FC?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.0135035503.66166extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; sports; too_near_deadlinenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-8NOWill another party win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
1700inactive_market; low_volume_liquidity; missing_pricemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-3NOWill Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.00957880371.24077extreme_price_poor_capital_efficiency; sportsmultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-10NOWill Company A have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
0.5170inactive_market; low_volume_liquidity; subjectivenoneopen
STABLE_SAMPLEpolymarket-16NOWill another party win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Stable sample from rejected rows.
3200inactive_market; low_volume_liquidity; missing_price; too_far_deadlinemultiple_explicit_resolution_dates; possible_concatenated_resolution_textopen