Prediction Alpha Desk Position History

Append-only snapshot journal. This keeps the raw tape while the movement summary shows high, low, latest move, and path per market. That catches the useful stuff like: price went 0.15 → 0.99 → 0.09 → 0.85.

Movement summary

Market	Action	Side	First	Latest	High	High At	Low	Low At	Last Δ	Since First	Remaining	Open P/L	Path
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	YES	YES	0.61	0.992	0.992	2026-06-26 04:30 UTC	0.455	2026-06-21 08:16 UTC	0.367	0.382	-14%	$0.00	up last run
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	YES	YES	0.13	0.06	0.37	2026-06-22 05:53 UTC	0.06	2026-06-25 04:24 UTC	-0.03	-0.07	+167%		down last run
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?	YES	YES	0.64	0.78	0.78	2026-07-09 04:22 UTC	0.64	2026-07-06 05:39 UTC	0.1	0.14	+5%	+$32.61	up last run
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	0.86	0.905	0.905	2026-08-14 02:46 UTC	0.86	2026-07-17 07:11 UTC	0.005	0.045	+8%	+$0.56	up last run
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	YES	YES	0.162	0.143	0.168	2026-06-23 07:02 UTC	0.1235	2026-07-04 04:00 UTC	0	-0.019	+54%	$-51.94	flat last run
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	0.2605	0.2785	0.2815	2026-08-13 02:46 UTC	0.2185	2026-07-02 04:20 UTC	-0.003	0.018	+8%	+$9.43	down last run
Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	0.65	0.895	0.895	2026-08-14 02:46 UTC	0.595	2026-07-18 19:48 UTC	0.025	0.245	-1%	+$178.03	up last run
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?	YES	YES	0.2925	0.087	0.2925	2026-07-06 06:02 UTC	0.087	2026-07-11 03:38 UTC	-0.1985	-0.2055	+417%	$-106.93	down last run
Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	0.13	0.125	0.225	2026-07-22 03:37 UTC	0.1	2026-08-01 03:51 UTC	-0.01	-0.005	+108%	$-3.85	down last run
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES	0.0755	0.0645	0.0765	2026-06-19 10:17 UTC	0.006	2026-06-29 04:58 UTC	0	-0.011	+9%		flat last run
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO	0.338	0.378	0.579	2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	0.034	2026-08-09 02:30 UTC	0	0.04	+40%		flat last run
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	EXIT	YES	0.355	0.057	0.3575	2026-07-27 03:59 UTC	0.057	2026-07-30 20:18 UTC	-0.0055	-0.298	0%	$-168.33	down last run
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES	0.505	0.635	0.665	2026-08-02 03:53 UTC	0.505	2026-06-19 10:06 UTC	0	0.13	-10%		flat last run
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO	0.8505	0.9255	0.9315	2026-08-06 03:35 UTC	0.8505	2026-06-19 10:06 UTC	-0.001	0.075	+0%		down last run
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES	0.3365	0.3925	0.3925	2026-07-01 04:53 UTC	0.0465	2026-06-30 04:25 UTC	0	0.056			flat last run

Market

Action

Side

First

Latest

High

High At

Low

Low At

Last Δ

Since First

Remaining

Open P/L

Path

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

YES

0.61

0.992

2026-06-26 04:30 UTC

0.455

2026-06-21 08:16 UTC

0.367

0.382

-14%

$0.00

up last run

Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?

YES

0.13

0.06

0.37

2026-06-22 05:53 UTC

0.06

2026-06-25 04:24 UTC

-0.03

-0.07

+167%

down last run

Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?

YES

0.64

0.78

2026-07-09 04:22 UTC

0.64

2026-07-06 05:39 UTC

0.1

0.14

+5%

+$32.61

up last run

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

0.86

0.905

2026-08-14 02:46 UTC

0.86

2026-07-17 07:11 UTC

0.005

0.045

+8%

+$0.56

up last run

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

YES

0.162

0.143

0.168

2026-06-23 07:02 UTC

0.1235

2026-07-04 04:00 UTC

-0.019

+54%

$-51.94

flat last run

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

0.2605

0.2785

0.2815

2026-08-13 02:46 UTC

0.2185

2026-07-02 04:20 UTC

-0.003

0.018

+8%

+$9.43

down last run

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

0.65

0.895

2026-08-14 02:46 UTC

0.595

2026-07-18 19:48 UTC

0.025

0.245

-1%

+$178.03

up last run

Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?

YES

0.2925

0.087

0.2925

2026-07-06 06:02 UTC

0.087

2026-07-11 03:38 UTC

-0.1985

-0.2055

+417%

$-106.93

down last run

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

0.13

0.125

0.225

2026-07-22 03:37 UTC

0.1

2026-08-01 03:51 UTC

-0.01

-0.005

+108%

$-3.85

down last run

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0755

0.0645

0.0765

2026-06-19 10:17 UTC

0.006

2026-06-29 04:58 UTC

-0.011

+9%

flat last run

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.338

0.378

0.579

2026-08-12 02:45 UTC

0.034

2026-08-09 02:30 UTC

0.04

+40%

flat last run

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

EXIT

YES

0.355

0.057

0.3575

2026-07-27 03:59 UTC

0.057

2026-07-30 20:18 UTC

-0.0055

-0.298

$-168.33

down last run

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.505

0.635

0.665

2026-08-02 03:53 UTC

0.505

2026-06-19 10:06 UTC

0.13

-10%

flat last run

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8505

0.9255

0.9315

2026-08-06 03:35 UTC

0.8505

2026-06-19 10:06 UTC

-0.001

0.075

+0%

down last run

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3365

0.3925

2026-07-01 04:53 UTC

0.0465

2026-06-30 04:25 UTC

0.056

flat last run

Raw snapshot tape

Snapshot	Market	Action	Side	Stake	Entry	Current	Fair	Remaining	Entry EV	Open P/L	Days	Alert	Status	URL
2026-08-14 02:46 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9255	0.93	+0%	+9%		51	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-14 02:46 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.635	0.57	-10%	+11%		51	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-14 02:46 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.125	0.26	+108%	+100%	$-3.85	27	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-14 02:46 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.378	0.53	+40%	+40%		-3	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-14 02:46 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-45	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-14 02:46 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-45	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-14 02:46 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.905	0.975	+8%	+8%	+$0.56	139	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-14 02:46 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2785	0.3	+8%	+18%	+$9.43	51	EXIT_REVIEW	active rerating trade, review simulated take-profit / deadline exit	market
2026-08-14 02:46 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.895	0.89	-1%	+35%	+$178.03	17	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-13 02:46 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9265	0.93	+0%	+9%		52	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-13 02:46 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.635	0.57	-10%	+11%		52	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-13 02:46 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.135	0.26	+93%	+100%	+$3.85	28	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-13 02:46 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.378	0.53	+40%	+40%		-2	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-13 02:46 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-44	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-13 02:46 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-44	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-13 02:46 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.9	0.975	+8%	+8%	$0.00	140	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-13 02:46 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2815	0.3	+7%	+18%	+$10.61	52	EXIT_REVIEW	active rerating trade, review simulated take-profit / deadline exit	market
2026-08-13 02:46 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.87	0.89	+2%	+35%	+$159.09	18	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9205	0.93	+1%	+9%		53	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.635	0.57	-10%	+11%		53	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2705	0.3	+11%	+18%	+$6.29	53	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.13	0.26	+100%	+100%	$0.00	29	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.579	0.53	-8%	+40%		-1	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-43	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-43	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.9	0.975	+8%	+8%	$0.00	141	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-12 02:45 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.83	0.89	+7%	+35%	+$128.79	19	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-11 02:28 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9235	0.93	+1%	+9%		54	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-11 02:28 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.635	0.57	-10%	+11%		54	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-11 02:28 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2725	0.3	+10%	+18%	+$7.07	54	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-11 02:28 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.155	0.26	+68%	+100%	+$19.23	30	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-11 02:28 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.046	0.53	+1052%	+40%		0	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-11 02:28 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-42	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-11 02:28 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-42	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-11 02:28 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.9	0.975	+8%	+8%	$0.00	142	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-11 02:28 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.78	0.89	+14%	+35%	+$90.91	20	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-10 02:33 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9255	0.93	+0%	+9%		55	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-10 02:33 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.635	0.57	-10%	+11%		55	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-10 02:33 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2725	0.3	+10%	+18%	+$7.07	55	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-10 02:33 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.15	0.26	+73%	+100%	+$15.38	31	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-10 02:33 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.049	0.53	+982%	+40%		1	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-10 02:33 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-41	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-10 02:33 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-41	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-10 02:33 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.89	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.11	143	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-10 02:33 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.78	0.89	+14%	+35%	+$90.91	21	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-09 02:30 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.92	0.93	+1%	+9%		56	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-09 02:30 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.645	0.57	-12%	+11%		56	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-09 02:30 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2695	0.3	+11%	+18%	+$5.89	56	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-09 02:30 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.145	0.26	+79%	+100%	+$11.54	32	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-09 02:30 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.034	0.53	+1459%	+40%		2	DEADLINE_SOON_3D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-09 02:30 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-40	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-09 02:30 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-40	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-09 02:30 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.89	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.11	144	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-09 02:30 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.83	0.89	+7%	+35%	+$128.79	22	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-08 02:23 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9235	0.93	+1%	+9%		57	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-08 02:23 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.645	0.57	-12%	+11%		57	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-08 02:23 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2695	0.3	+11%	+18%	+$5.89	57	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-08 02:23 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.14	0.26	+86%	+100%	+$7.69	33	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-08 02:23 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.0555	0.53	+855%	+40%		3	DEADLINE_SOON_3D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-08 02:23 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-39	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-08 02:23 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-39	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-08 02:23 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.89	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.11	145	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-08 02:23 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.825	0.89	+8%	+35%	+$125.00	23	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-07 03:19 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.931	0.93	-0%	+9%		58	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-07 03:19 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.645	0.57	-12%	+11%		58	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-07 03:19 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2695	0.3	+11%	+18%	+$5.89	58	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-07 03:19 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.13	0.26	+100%	+100%	$0.00	34	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-07 03:19 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.705	0.89	+26%	+35%	+$34.09	24	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-07 03:19 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.0825	0.53	+542%	+40%		4	DEADLINE_SOON_7D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-07 03:19 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-38	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-07 03:19 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-38	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-07 03:19 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.89	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.11	146	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-06 03:35 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9315	0.93	-0%	+9%		59	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-06 03:35 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.645	0.57	-12%	+11%		59	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-06 03:35 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2655	0.3	+13%	+18%	+$4.32	59	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-06 03:35 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.13	0.26	+100%	+100%	$0.00	35	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-06 03:35 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.093	0.53	+470%	+40%		5	DEADLINE_SOON_7D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-06 03:35 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-37	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-06 03:35 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-37	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-06 03:35 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.89	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.11	147	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-06 03:35 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.785	0.89	+13%	+35%	+$94.70	25	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-05 03:33 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9275	0.93	+0%	+9%		60	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-05 03:33 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.655	0.57	-13%	+11%		60	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-05 03:33 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2585	0.3	+16%	+18%	+$1.57	60	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-05 03:33 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.125	0.26	+108%	+100%	$-3.85	36	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-05 03:33 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.172	0.53	+208%	+40%		6	DEADLINE_SOON_7D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-05 03:33 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-36	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-05 03:33 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-36	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-05 03:33 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.89	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.11	148	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-05 03:33 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.765	0.89	+16%	+35%	+$79.55	26	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-04 03:38 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9275	0.93	+0%	+9%		61	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-04 03:38 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.645	0.57	-12%	+11%		61	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-04 03:38 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2755	0.3	+9%	+18%	+$8.25	61	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-04 03:38 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.105	0.26	+148%	+100%	$-19.23	37	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-04 03:38 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.0345	0.53	+1436%	+40%		7	DEADLINE_SOON_7D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-04 03:38 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-35	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-04 03:38 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-35	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-04 03:38 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.895	0.975	+9%	+8%	$-0.56	149	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-04 03:38 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.795	0.89	+12%	+35%	+$102.27	27	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-03 03:55 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9235	0.93	+1%	+9%		62	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-03 03:55 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.655	0.57	-13%	+11%		62	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-03 03:55 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2475	0.3	+21%	+18%	$-2.75	62	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-03 03:55 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.105	0.26	+148%	+100%	$-19.23	38	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-03 03:55 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.0365	0.53	+1352%	+40%		8	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-03 03:55 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-34	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-03 03:55 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-34	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-03 03:55 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.88	0.975	+11%	+8%	$-2.22	150	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-03 03:55 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.78	0.89	+14%	+35%	+$90.91	28	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-02 03:53 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.919	0.93	+1%	+9%		63	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-02 03:53 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.665	0.57	-14%	+11%		63	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-02 03:53 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2455	0.3	+22%	+18%	$-3.54	63	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-02 03:53 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.1	0.26	+160%	+100%	$-23.08	39	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-02 03:53 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.0415	0.53	+1177%	+40%		9	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-02 03:53 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-33	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-02 03:53 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-33	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-02 03:53 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.88	0.975	+11%	+8%	$-2.22	151	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-02 03:53 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.835	0.89	+7%	+35%	+$132.58	29	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-01 03:51 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.917	0.93	+1%	+9%		64	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-01 03:51 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.645	0.57	-12%	+11%		64	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-01 03:51 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2545	0.3	+18%	+18%	$0.00	64	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-01 03:51 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.1	0.26	+160%	+100%	$-23.08	40	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-01 03:51 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.035	0.53	+1414%	+40%		10	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-08-01 03:51 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-32	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-01 03:51 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-32	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-08-01 03:51 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.885	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.67	152	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-08-01 03:51 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.89	0.89	0%	+35%	+$174.24	30	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-31 03:52 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.915	0.93	+2%	+9%		65	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-31 03:52 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.635	0.57	-10%	+11%		65	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-31 03:52 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2385	0.3	+26%	+18%	$-6.29	65	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-31 03:52 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.105	0.26	+148%	+100%	$-19.23	41	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-31 03:52 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.044	0.53	+1105%	+40%		11	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-31 03:52 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-31	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-31 03:52 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-31	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-31 03:52 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.885	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.67	153	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-31 03:52 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.735	0.89	+21%	+35%	+$56.82	31	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-30 20:27 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9155	0.93	+2%	+9%		66	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-30 20:27 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.635	0.57	-10%	+11%		66	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-30 20:27 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2395	0.3	+25%	+18%	$-5.89	66	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-30 20:27 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.115	0.26	+126%	+100%	$-11.54	42	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-30 20:27 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.053	0.53	+900%	+40%		12	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-30 20:27 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-30	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-30 20:27 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-30	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-30 20:27 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.885	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.67	154	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-30 20:27 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.74	0.89	+20%	+35%	+$60.61	32	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-30 20:18 UTC	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	EXIT	YES	+$200.00	0.36	0.057		0%	+33%	$-168.33	5	EXIT_STOP_REVIEW	closed paper trade; independent-poll wrong-if condition fired; realized P/L -$168.33	market
2026-07-30 20:18 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9155	0.93	+2%	+9%		66	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-30 20:18 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.635	0.57	-10%	+11%		66	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-30 20:18 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2395	0.3	+25%	+18%	$-5.89	66	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-30 20:18 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.115	0.26	+126%	+100%	$-11.54	42	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-30 20:18 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.0525	0.53	+910%	+40%		12	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-30 20:18 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-30	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-30 20:18 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-30	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-30 20:18 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.885	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.67	154	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-30 20:18 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.74	0.89	+20%	+35%	+$60.61	32	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9155	0.93	+2%	+9%		66	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.635	0.57	-10%	+11%		66	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2395	0.3	+25%	+18%	$-5.89	66	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.12	0.26	+117%	+100%	$-7.69	42	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.063	0.53	+741%	+40%		12	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	YES	YES	+$200.00	0.36	0.0625	0.48	+668%	+33%	$-165.28	5	DEADLINE_SOON_7D	active paper trade, check deadline mechanics	market
2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-30	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-30	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.885	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.67	154	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-30 20:00 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.74	0.89	+20%	+35%	+$60.61	32	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-27 03:59 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9025	0.93	+3%	+9%		69	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-27 03:59 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.635	0.57	-10%	+11%		69	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-27 03:59 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2375	0.3	+26%	+18%	$-6.68	69	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-27 03:59 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.18	0.26	+44%	+100%	+$38.46	45	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-27 03:59 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.665	0.89	+34%	+35%	+$3.79	35	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-27 03:59 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.166	0.53	+219%	+40%		15	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-27 03:59 UTC	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	YES	YES	+$200.00	0.36	0.3575	0.48	+34%	+33%	$-1.39	8	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-27 03:59 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-27	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-27 03:59 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-27	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-27 03:59 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.875	0.975	+11%	+8%	$-2.78	157	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-26 03:50 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.8965	0.93	+4%	+9%		70	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-26 03:50 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.625	0.57	-9%	+11%		70	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-26 03:50 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2365	0.3	+27%	+18%	$-7.07	70	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-26 03:50 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.105	0.26	+148%	+100%	$-19.23	46	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-26 03:50 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.1385	0.53	+283%	+40%		16	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-26 03:50 UTC	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	YES	YES	+$200.00	0.36	0.3505	0.48	+37%	+33%	$-5.28	9	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-26 03:50 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-26	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-26 03:50 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-26	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-26 03:50 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.875	0.975	+11%	+8%	$-2.78	158	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-26 03:50 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.725	0.89	+23%	+35%	+$49.24	36	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-25 03:36 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.88	0.93	+6%	+9%		71	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-25 03:36 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.615	0.57	-7%	+11%		71	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-25 03:36 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2285	0.3	+31%	+18%	$-10.22	71	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-25 03:36 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.105	0.26	+148%	+100%	$-19.23	47	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-25 03:36 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.71	0.89	+25%	+35%	+$37.88	37	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-25 03:36 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.1745	0.53	+204%	+40%		17	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-25 03:36 UTC	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	YES	YES	+$200.00	0.36	0.3495	0.48	+37%	+33%	$-5.83	10	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-25 03:36 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-25	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-25 03:36 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-25	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-25 03:36 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.88	0.975	+11%	+8%	$-2.22	159	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-24 03:38 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.883	0.93	+5%	+9%		72	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-24 03:38 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.605	0.57	-6%	+11%		72	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-24 03:38 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2295	0.3	+31%	+18%	$-9.82	72	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-24 03:38 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.17	0.26	+53%	+100%	+$30.77	48	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-24 03:38 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.65	0.89	+37%	+35%	$-7.58	38	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-24 03:38 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.2025	0.53	+162%	+40%		18	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-24 03:38 UTC	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	YES	YES	+$200.00	0.36	0.215	0.48	+123%	+33%	$-80.56	11	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-24 03:38 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-24	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-24 03:38 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-24	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-24 03:38 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.885	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.67	160	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-23 03:42 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.887	0.93	+5%	+9%		73	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-23 03:42 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.605	0.57	-6%	+11%		73	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-23 03:42 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2415	0.3	+24%	+18%	$-5.11	73	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-23 03:42 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.135	0.26	+93%	+100%	+$3.85	49	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-23 03:42 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.595	0.89	+50%	+35%	$-49.24	39	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-23 03:42 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.2135	0.53	+148%	+40%		19	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-23 03:42 UTC	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	YES	YES	+$200.00	0.36	0.2045	0.48	+135%	+33%	$-86.39	12	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-23 03:42 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-23	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-23 03:42 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-23	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-23 03:42 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.885	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.67	161	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-22 03:37 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9095	0.93	+2%	+9%		74	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-22 03:37 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.605	0.57	-6%	+11%		74	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-22 03:37 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2605	0.3	+15%	+18%	+$2.36	74	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-22 03:37 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.67	0.89	+33%	+35%	+$7.58	40	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-22 03:37 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.2535	0.53	+109%	+40%		20	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-22 03:37 UTC	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	YES	YES	+$200.00	0.36	0.2085	0.48	+130%	+33%	$-84.17	13	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-22 03:37 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-22	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-22 03:37 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-22	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-22 03:37 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.885	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.67	162	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-22 03:37 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.225	0.26	+16%	+100%	+$73.08	50	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-21 03:36 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9135	0.93	+2%	+9%		75	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-21 03:36 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.605	0.57	-6%	+11%		75	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-21 03:36 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2625	0.3	+14%	+18%	+$3.14	75	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-21 03:36 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.185	0.26	+41%	+100%	+$42.31	51	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-21 03:36 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.675	0.89	+32%	+35%	+$11.36	41	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-21 03:36 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.3125	0.53	+70%	+40%		21	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-21 03:36 UTC	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	YES	YES	+$200.00	0.36	0.2025	0.48	+137%	+33%	$-87.50	14	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-21 03:36 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-21	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-21 03:36 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-21	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-21 03:36 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.885	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.67	163	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-20 04:00 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9215	0.93	+1%	+9%		76	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-20 04:00 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.595	0.57	-4%	+11%		76	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-20 04:00 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2565	0.3	+17%	+18%	+$0.79	76	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-20 04:00 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.125	0.26	+108%	+100%	$-3.85	52	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-20 04:00 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.665	0.89	+34%	+35%	+$3.79	42	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-20 04:00 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.2985	0.53	+78%	+40%		22	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-20 04:00 UTC	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	YES	YES	+$200.00	0.36	0.337	0.48	+42%	+33%	$-12.78	15	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-20 04:00 UTC	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.3925	0.3925					-20	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-20 04:00 UTC	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	MAYBE	YES		0.0645	0.0645	0.07	+9%	+9%		-20	DEADLINE_SOON_1D	watching deadline and price only	market
2026-07-20 04:00 UTC	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?	YES	NO	+$100.00	0.9	0.885	0.975	+10%	+8%	$-1.67	164	EXIT_REVIEW	active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner	market
2026-07-19 05:04 UTC	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	NO		0.8545	0.9215	0.93	+1%	+9%		77	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-19 05:04 UTC	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	MAYBE	YES		0.515	0.605	0.57	-6%	+11%		77	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-19 05:04 UTC	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.2545	0.2565	0.3	+17%	+18%	+$0.79	77	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-19 05:04 UTC	Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?	YES	YES	+$100.00	0.13	0.125	0.26	+108%	+100%	$-3.85	53	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-19 05:04 UTC	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	YES	NO	+$500.00	0.66	0.61	0.89	+46%	+35%	$-37.88	43	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market
2026-07-19 05:04 UTC	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	MAYBE	NO		0.378	0.354	0.53	+50%	+40%		23	SOURCE_NEEDED	watch only, source not wired	market

Snapshot

Market

Action

Side

Stake

Entry

Current

Fair

Remaining

Entry EV

Open P/L

Days

Alert

Status

URL

2026-08-14 02:46 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9255

0.93

+0%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-14 02:46 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.635

0.57

-10%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-14 02:46 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.125

0.26

+108%

+100%

$-3.85

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-14 02:46 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.53

+40%

-3

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-14 02:46 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-45

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-14 02:46 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-45

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-14 02:46 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.905

0.975

+8%

+$0.56

139

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-14 02:46 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2785

0.3

+8%

+18%

+$9.43

EXIT_REVIEW

active rerating trade, review simulated take-profit / deadline exit

market

2026-08-14 02:46 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.895

0.89

-1%

+35%

+$178.03

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-13 02:46 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9265

0.93

+0%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-13 02:46 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.635

0.57

-10%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-13 02:46 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.135

0.26

+93%

+100%

+$3.85

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-13 02:46 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.53

+40%

-2

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-13 02:46 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-44

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-13 02:46 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-44

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-13 02:46 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.975

+8%

$0.00

140

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-13 02:46 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2815

0.3

+7%

+18%

+$10.61

EXIT_REVIEW

active rerating trade, review simulated take-profit / deadline exit

market

2026-08-13 02:46 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.87

0.89

+2%

+35%

+$159.09

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-12 02:45 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9205

0.93

+1%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-12 02:45 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.635

0.57

-10%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-12 02:45 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2705

0.3

+11%

+18%

+$6.29

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-12 02:45 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.26

+100%

$0.00

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-12 02:45 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.579

0.53

-8%

+40%

-1

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-12 02:45 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-43

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-12 02:45 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-43

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-12 02:45 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.975

+8%

$0.00

141

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-12 02:45 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.83

0.89

+7%

+35%

+$128.79

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-11 02:28 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9235

0.93

+1%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-11 02:28 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.635

0.57

-10%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-11 02:28 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2725

0.3

+10%

+18%

+$7.07

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-11 02:28 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.155

0.26

+68%

+100%

+$19.23

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-11 02:28 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.046

0.53

+1052%

+40%

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-11 02:28 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-42

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-11 02:28 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-42

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-11 02:28 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.975

+8%

$0.00

142

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-11 02:28 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.78

0.89

+14%

+35%

+$90.91

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-10 02:33 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9255

0.93

+0%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-10 02:33 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.635

0.57

-10%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-10 02:33 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2725

0.3

+10%

+18%

+$7.07

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-10 02:33 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.15

0.26

+73%

+100%

+$15.38

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-10 02:33 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.049

0.53

+982%

+40%

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-10 02:33 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-41

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-10 02:33 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-41

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-10 02:33 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.89

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.11

143

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-10 02:33 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.78

0.89

+14%

+35%

+$90.91

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-09 02:30 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.92

0.93

+1%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-09 02:30 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.645

0.57

-12%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-09 02:30 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2695

0.3

+11%

+18%

+$5.89

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-09 02:30 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.145

0.26

+79%

+100%

+$11.54

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-09 02:30 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.034

0.53

+1459%

+40%

DEADLINE_SOON_3D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-09 02:30 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-40

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-09 02:30 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-40

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-09 02:30 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.89

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.11

144

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-09 02:30 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.83

0.89

+7%

+35%

+$128.79

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-08 02:23 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9235

0.93

+1%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-08 02:23 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.645

0.57

-12%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-08 02:23 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2695

0.3

+11%

+18%

+$5.89

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-08 02:23 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.14

0.26

+86%

+100%

+$7.69

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-08 02:23 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.0555

0.53

+855%

+40%

DEADLINE_SOON_3D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-08 02:23 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-39

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-08 02:23 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-39

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-08 02:23 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.89

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.11

145

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-08 02:23 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.825

0.89

+8%

+35%

+$125.00

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-07 03:19 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.931

0.93

-0%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-07 03:19 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.645

0.57

-12%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-07 03:19 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2695

0.3

+11%

+18%

+$5.89

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-07 03:19 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.26

+100%

$0.00

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-07 03:19 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.705

0.89

+26%

+35%

+$34.09

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-07 03:19 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.0825

0.53

+542%

+40%

DEADLINE_SOON_7D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-07 03:19 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-38

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-07 03:19 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-38

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-07 03:19 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.89

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.11

146

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-06 03:35 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9315

0.93

-0%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-06 03:35 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.645

0.57

-12%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-06 03:35 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2655

0.3

+13%

+18%

+$4.32

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-06 03:35 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.26

+100%

$0.00

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-06 03:35 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.093

0.53

+470%

+40%

DEADLINE_SOON_7D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-06 03:35 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-37

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-06 03:35 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-37

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-06 03:35 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.89

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.11

147

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-06 03:35 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.785

0.89

+13%

+35%

+$94.70

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-05 03:33 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9275

0.93

+0%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-05 03:33 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.655

0.57

-13%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-05 03:33 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2585

0.3

+16%

+18%

+$1.57

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-05 03:33 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.125

0.26

+108%

+100%

$-3.85

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-05 03:33 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.172

0.53

+208%

+40%

DEADLINE_SOON_7D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-05 03:33 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-36

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-05 03:33 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-36

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-05 03:33 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.89

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.11

148

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-05 03:33 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.765

0.89

+16%

+35%

+$79.55

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-04 03:38 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9275

0.93

+0%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-04 03:38 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.645

0.57

-12%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-04 03:38 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2755

0.3

+9%

+18%

+$8.25

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-04 03:38 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.105

0.26

+148%

+100%

$-19.23

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-04 03:38 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.0345

0.53

+1436%

+40%

DEADLINE_SOON_7D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-04 03:38 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-35

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-04 03:38 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-35

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-04 03:38 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.895

0.975

+9%

+8%

$-0.56

149

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-04 03:38 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.795

0.89

+12%

+35%

+$102.27

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-03 03:55 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9235

0.93

+1%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-03 03:55 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.655

0.57

-13%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-03 03:55 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2475

0.3

+21%

+18%

$-2.75

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-03 03:55 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.105

0.26

+148%

+100%

$-19.23

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-03 03:55 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.0365

0.53

+1352%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-03 03:55 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-34

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-03 03:55 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-34

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-03 03:55 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.88

0.975

+11%

+8%

$-2.22

150

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-03 03:55 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.78

0.89

+14%

+35%

+$90.91

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-02 03:53 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.919

0.93

+1%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-02 03:53 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.665

0.57

-14%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-02 03:53 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2455

0.3

+22%

+18%

$-3.54

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-02 03:53 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.1

0.26

+160%

+100%

$-23.08

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-02 03:53 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.0415

0.53

+1177%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-02 03:53 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-33

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-02 03:53 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-33

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-02 03:53 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.88

0.975

+11%

+8%

$-2.22

151

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-02 03:53 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.835

0.89

+7%

+35%

+$132.58

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-01 03:51 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.917

0.93

+1%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-01 03:51 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.645

0.57

-12%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-01 03:51 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.3

+18%

$0.00

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-01 03:51 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.1

0.26

+160%

+100%

$-23.08

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-01 03:51 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.035

0.53

+1414%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-08-01 03:51 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-32

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-01 03:51 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-32

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-08-01 03:51 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.885

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.67

152

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-08-01 03:51 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.89

+35%

+$174.24

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-31 03:52 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.915

0.93

+2%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-31 03:52 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.635

0.57

-10%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-31 03:52 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2385

0.3

+26%

+18%

$-6.29

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-31 03:52 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.105

0.26

+148%

+100%

$-19.23

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-31 03:52 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.044

0.53

+1105%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-31 03:52 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-31

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-31 03:52 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-31

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-31 03:52 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.885

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.67

153

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-31 03:52 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.735

0.89

+21%

+35%

+$56.82

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-30 20:27 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9155

0.93

+2%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-30 20:27 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.635

0.57

-10%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-30 20:27 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2395

0.3

+25%

+18%

$-5.89

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-30 20:27 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.115

0.26

+126%

+100%

$-11.54

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-30 20:27 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.053

0.53

+900%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-30 20:27 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-30

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-30 20:27 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-30

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-30 20:27 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.885

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.67

154

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-30 20:27 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.74

0.89

+20%

+35%

+$60.61

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-30 20:18 UTC

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

EXIT

YES

+$200.00

0.36

0.057

+33%

$-168.33

EXIT_STOP_REVIEW

closed paper trade; independent-poll wrong-if condition fired; realized P/L -$168.33

market

2026-07-30 20:18 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9155

0.93

+2%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-30 20:18 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.635

0.57

-10%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-30 20:18 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2395

0.3

+25%

+18%

$-5.89

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-30 20:18 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.115

0.26

+126%

+100%

$-11.54

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-30 20:18 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.0525

0.53

+910%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-30 20:18 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-30

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-30 20:18 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-30

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-30 20:18 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.885

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.67

154

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-30 20:18 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.74

0.89

+20%

+35%

+$60.61

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-30 20:00 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9155

0.93

+2%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-30 20:00 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.635

0.57

-10%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-30 20:00 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2395

0.3

+25%

+18%

$-5.89

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-30 20:00 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.12

0.26

+117%

+100%

$-7.69

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-30 20:00 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.063

0.53

+741%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-30 20:00 UTC

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

YES

+$200.00

0.36

0.0625

0.48

+668%

+33%

$-165.28

DEADLINE_SOON_7D

active paper trade, check deadline mechanics

market

2026-07-30 20:00 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-30

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-30 20:00 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-30

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-30 20:00 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.885

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.67

154

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-30 20:00 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.74

0.89

+20%

+35%

+$60.61

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-27 03:59 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9025

0.93

+3%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-27 03:59 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.635

0.57

-10%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-27 03:59 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2375

0.3

+26%

+18%

$-6.68

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-27 03:59 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.18

0.26

+44%

+100%

+$38.46

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-27 03:59 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.665

0.89

+34%

+35%

+$3.79

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-27 03:59 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.166

0.53

+219%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-27 03:59 UTC

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

YES

+$200.00

0.36

0.3575

0.48

+34%

+33%

$-1.39

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-27 03:59 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-27

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-27 03:59 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-27

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-27 03:59 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.875

0.975

+11%

+8%

$-2.78

157

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-26 03:50 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.8965

0.93

+4%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-26 03:50 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.625

0.57

-9%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-26 03:50 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2365

0.3

+27%

+18%

$-7.07

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-26 03:50 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.105

0.26

+148%

+100%

$-19.23

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-26 03:50 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.1385

0.53

+283%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-26 03:50 UTC

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

YES

+$200.00

0.36

0.3505

0.48

+37%

+33%

$-5.28

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-26 03:50 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-26

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-26 03:50 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-26

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-26 03:50 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.875

0.975

+11%

+8%

$-2.78

158

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-26 03:50 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.725

0.89

+23%

+35%

+$49.24

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-25 03:36 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.88

0.93

+6%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-25 03:36 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.615

0.57

-7%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-25 03:36 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2285

0.3

+31%

+18%

$-10.22

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-25 03:36 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.105

0.26

+148%

+100%

$-19.23

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-25 03:36 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.71

0.89

+25%

+35%

+$37.88

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-25 03:36 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.1745

0.53

+204%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-25 03:36 UTC

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

YES

+$200.00

0.36

0.3495

0.48

+37%

+33%

$-5.83

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-25 03:36 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-25

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-25 03:36 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-25

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-25 03:36 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.88

0.975

+11%

+8%

$-2.22

159

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-24 03:38 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.883

0.93

+5%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-24 03:38 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.605

0.57

-6%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-24 03:38 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2295

0.3

+31%

+18%

$-9.82

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-24 03:38 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.17

0.26

+53%

+100%

+$30.77

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-24 03:38 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.65

0.89

+37%

+35%

$-7.58

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-24 03:38 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.2025

0.53

+162%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-24 03:38 UTC

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

YES

+$200.00

0.36

0.215

0.48

+123%

+33%

$-80.56

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-24 03:38 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-24

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-24 03:38 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-24

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-24 03:38 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.885

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.67

160

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-23 03:42 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.887

0.93

+5%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-23 03:42 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.605

0.57

-6%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-23 03:42 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2415

0.3

+24%

+18%

$-5.11

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-23 03:42 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.135

0.26

+93%

+100%

+$3.85

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-23 03:42 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.595

0.89

+50%

+35%

$-49.24

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-23 03:42 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.2135

0.53

+148%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-23 03:42 UTC

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

YES

+$200.00

0.36

0.2045

0.48

+135%

+33%

$-86.39

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-23 03:42 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-23

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-23 03:42 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-23

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-23 03:42 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.885

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.67

161

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-22 03:37 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9095

0.93

+2%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-22 03:37 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.605

0.57

-6%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-22 03:37 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2605

0.3

+15%

+18%

+$2.36

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-22 03:37 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.67

0.89

+33%

+35%

+$7.58

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-22 03:37 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.2535

0.53

+109%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-22 03:37 UTC

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

YES

+$200.00

0.36

0.2085

0.48

+130%

+33%

$-84.17

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-22 03:37 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-22

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-22 03:37 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-22

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-22 03:37 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.885

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.67

162

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-22 03:37 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.225

0.26

+16%

+100%

+$73.08

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-21 03:36 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9135

0.93

+2%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-21 03:36 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.605

0.57

-6%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-21 03:36 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2625

0.3

+14%

+18%

+$3.14

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-21 03:36 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.185

0.26

+41%

+100%

+$42.31

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-21 03:36 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.675

0.89

+32%

+35%

+$11.36

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-21 03:36 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.3125

0.53

+70%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-21 03:36 UTC

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

YES

+$200.00

0.36

0.2025

0.48

+137%

+33%

$-87.50

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-21 03:36 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-21

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-21 03:36 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-21

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-21 03:36 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.885

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.67

163

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-20 04:00 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9215

0.93

+1%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-20 04:00 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.595

0.57

-4%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-20 04:00 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2565

0.3

+17%

+18%

+$0.79

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-20 04:00 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.125

0.26

+108%

+100%

$-3.85

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-20 04:00 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.665

0.89

+34%

+35%

+$3.79

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-20 04:00 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.2985

0.53

+78%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-20 04:00 UTC

Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?

YES

+$200.00

0.36

0.337

0.48

+42%

+33%

$-12.78

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-20 04:00 UTC

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.3925

-20

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-20 04:00 UTC

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?

MAYBE

YES

0.0645

0.07

+9%

-20

DEADLINE_SOON_1D

watching deadline and price only

market

2026-07-20 04:00 UTC

U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?

YES

+$100.00

0.9

0.885

0.975

+10%

+8%

$-1.67

164

EXIT_REVIEW

active resolution-edge trade, review simulated take-profit / runner

market

2026-07-19 05:04 UTC

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

0.8545

0.9215

0.93

+1%

+9%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-19 05:04 UTC

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

MAYBE

YES

0.515

0.605

0.57

-6%

+11%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-19 05:04 UTC

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YES

+$100.00

0.2545

0.2565

0.3

+17%

+18%

+$0.79

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-19 05:04 UTC

Will the European Central Bank make no change to interest rates after its September 2026 meeting?

YES

+$100.00

0.13

0.125

0.26

+108%

+100%

$-3.85

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-19 05:04 UTC

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

YES

+$500.00

0.66

0.61

0.89

+46%

+35%

$-37.88

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market

2026-07-19 05:04 UTC

Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

MAYBE

0.378

0.354

0.53

+50%

+40%

SOURCE_NEEDED

watch only, source not wired

market